Social Sciences
Ali Reza Zargar; Reza Abdolrahmani; Hojat Motaghi; Nahid Hoseini
Abstract
The nature of the insurance industry and the accumulation of liquid assets in the form of deposit boxes can provide fraud from insurance companies. The fraudulent type of fake accidents with various tricks to obtain financial benefits and abuse of third-party insurance has caused a lot of damage to insurance ...
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The nature of the insurance industry and the accumulation of liquid assets in the form of deposit boxes can provide fraud from insurance companies. The fraudulent type of fake accidents with various tricks to obtain financial benefits and abuse of third-party insurance has caused a lot of damage to insurance companies. The purpose of this study is to discover and figure out how fraudulent models are used by third-party insurers to gain access to fraudsters' practices.
Data collection is based on documents and records, interviews with a number of fraudulent women and collaborators with gangs, experts and traffic officers. Individual, familial, social, economic, political, and cultural factors are an effective and motivating factor for criminals, but the most important factor can be considered as economic factor and poverty.
Also, fraudsters with abuse of legal weaknesses and sometimes the use of non-Iranians (Afghans), poor families, to forge a false identity card, and through responsible individuals and influence on government agencies and insurance companies, gain huge amounts of Diyah From insurance companies.
Demography
fateme modiri; fateme tanha
Abstract
Due to the persistence of fertility below replacement level and the need to identify relevant factors, In this article, we examine the impact of feeling of security on the number of children ever born, ideal, intention, and the intention to have another child. Using the Married Lifestyle Survey data, ...
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Due to the persistence of fertility below replacement level and the need to identify relevant factors, In this article, we examine the impact of feeling of security on the number of children ever born, ideal, intention, and the intention to have another child. Using the Married Lifestyle Survey data, 1189 married men and women in Tehran, where the woman was less than 50 years old and fertile, selected in a multi-stage cluster method and used in the final analysis. The results showed that the mean of ideal children number in the respondents was more than two children (2.13), the intended children number was 1.91, the children ever born number was less than the replacement level (1.41) and 36/9 percent of the respondents intended to have another child. There was a significant relationship between the feeling of security and the number of children ever born, ideal and intended. Also, logistic regression models showed a significant effect of feeling of security in exit of childlessness, one-child and two-children. Policy suggestions in order to increase childbearing, based on a suitable context to reduce risky situations and increase the feeling of security in various economic, public, judicial and political dimensions, including job security and adequate income, political stability and immunity from any offense.
Population: Issues and Challenges
Milad Bagi
Abstract
Considering the age structure change and macro-level socioeconomic transformations that Iran has experienced, marriage trends are expected to change between different periods and cohorts. This paper aimed to examine the periodic and generational changes in marriage and the determinants of marriage probability ...
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Considering the age structure change and macro-level socioeconomic transformations that Iran has experienced, marriage trends are expected to change between different periods and cohorts. This paper aimed to examine the periodic and generational changes in marriage and the determinants of marriage probability over the last four decades using the multilevel age-period-cohort method. For this purpose, Household Income and Expenditure Survey data were analyzed. The findings showed that in both sexes, younger cohorts delay their marriage compared to older cohorts and marry at older ages. The percentage of married women in all cohorts is higher than men until age 35, but at older ages, the opposite will be true. Periodic trends confirm these results. Age-period-cohort analysis revealed women have married earlier than men in all periods and cohorts, but the marriage probability of women is less than men. Tertiary education and employment were crucial determinants in reducing the probability of marriage among various periods and cohorts. The breadwinner male model of the Iranian family has caused employment to increase the marriage probability of men and decrease the women’s marriage probability. Given the tertiary education expansion and prolongation of the education, providing appropriate policies and programs for youth employment is needed to prevent further delay in youth marriage. Therefore, planners need to consider the changes in family and community over the past decades in policymaking.
Demography
Amene Abbasi; Amir Maleki; Rasool Sadeghi; Ghader Balakhani
Abstract
This paper uses a meta-analysis to comparatively evaluate the factors related to childbearing in Iran studies. The analysis is based on 26 studies, which 16 are about fertility desires and 10 are about childbearing attitudes. The results suggest that several factors have negative effect on fertility ...
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This paper uses a meta-analysis to comparatively evaluate the factors related to childbearing in Iran studies. The analysis is based on 26 studies, which 16 are about fertility desires and 10 are about childbearing attitudes. The results suggest that several factors have negative effect on fertility desires named: education, marriage age, and number of children, social-economic participation, and individualism, attitude to employment, foreign media and internet. As well as, age, rural living, income, religiosity, social protection, number of siblings, and life quality have positive effect on fertility desires, which among them individualism (-0/296) and number of children (-0/224) have the most effect sizes. The results also suggest that income and age difference between spouses have positive effect on childbearing attitude and cultural investment, education, social-economic status, age, and virtual networks have negative effect on childbearing attitudes, which income (0/272) and age (0/258) have the most effect sizes. Therefore there are a lot of social factors which have important role in determining childbearing in Iran and social planners should pay attention to them.
Humanities
hamid asayesh; mahdi kamali; yahya arianmehr
Abstract
Economic growth and development is one of the goals that every economy pursues and the reason for this is the existence of many benefits that economic growth achieves. Therefore, in the seventh development plan, like other previous plans, the issue of growth and development must be considered In this ...
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Economic growth and development is one of the goals that every economy pursues and the reason for this is the existence of many benefits that economic growth achieves. Therefore, in the seventh development plan, like other previous plans, the issue of growth and development must be considered In this regard, special attention should be paid to the concept of land management and sub-sectors with advantages, such as tourism. Tourism as the fourth most lucrative industry in the world It has high economic and social benefits, the development of which is one of the cheapest methods of economic growth in the Seventh Development Plan. in this study, the effect of foreign tourism on the economic growth of Iran's provinces in general and the separation of 9 land management zones were studied. To be suggested as an important sub-section in the seventh plan if it has an effect And the possibility of policy-making by planning areas To achieve this, the data panel method and quarterly data collected from the Statistics Center of Iran and the Cultural Heritage Organization during the years 1389 to 1695 were used. The results showed that tourism has a positive and significant effect on the economic growth of Iranian provinces The highest effect is in areas 5 and 8 of land management and the least effect is in area 6 of land management Therefore, in the seventh plan, special attention should be paid to capacity building in one sub-section.
Demography
Adel Abdollahi; Maryam Rezaee
Abstract
Nowadays, international migration is one of the most important factors affecting population dynamics and its changes, which is considered by researchers and policy makers. Understanding the factors that underlie the desire to emigrate abroad has an impact on identifying future migration tendencies and ...
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Nowadays, international migration is one of the most important factors affecting population dynamics and its changes, which is considered by researchers and policy makers. Understanding the factors that underlie the desire to emigrate abroad has an impact on identifying future migration tendencies and trends. The aim of the present study is to identify the extent of Iranians' desire to emigrate abroad and the impact of demographic-contextual and structural factors on it. The methodology is based on the secondary analysis of micro-data of the National Social Capital Survey in 1397. The sample number includes 17078 people aged 18 and over living in 31 provinces of the country. According to the research findings, 42% of the respondents are willing to emigrate abroad and are considered as potential immigrants. The results showed that people with a tendency to emigrate are often single, young (18 to 49 years old), with university education, middle class and living in cities. Also, the results of bivariate analysis of the relationship between structural factors (social satisfaction, social hope and vitality, sense of social security and assessment of the future of the country) showed that all these factors have a negative and significant relationship with the tendency to emigrate abroad. Finally, based on the results of multivariate analysis (logistic regression), by controlling demographic and contextual variables, only the level of social hope and vitality and assessment of the future situation of the country, still have a significant effect on the tendency to emigrate abroad.
Humanities
Fatemeh Sorkhedeh
Abstract
Despite a long history of planning, Iran still faces many economic and social problems. Production as the most important pillar of industrial development has many problems. The main question is what are the problems and disadvantages of development programs in the economic and cultural fields, to support ...
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Despite a long history of planning, Iran still faces many economic and social problems. Production as the most important pillar of industrial development has many problems. The main question is what are the problems and disadvantages of development programs in the economic and cultural fields, to support production and productive activities and industrial development? For the answer, the analytical-descriptive method and content analysis in the framework of the theoretical foundations of the institutionalist economics approach have been used. A review of development programs shows that most of the production protection laws in development programs have been financial protections, but the production sector still faces the problem of supporting and receiving financial facilities. The results indicate that lack of clear industrial development strategy, lack of attention to anti-production economic culture, lack of identification of productive activities, attractiveness of investing in unproductive activities, lack of appropriate tax policies, lack of access to all bank accounts, lack of transparency, unstable macroeconomic environment And the insecurity of property rights is one of the most important problems of production and has caused financial protections to lead to unproductive rents and increased rent seeking. Another important but neglected issue in development planning is the lack of strategy for the transformation of economic culture and the mood of society in the path of industrial production and development. Neglecting this important has increased distrust and reduced social capital and anti-production culture.
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