Document Type : Original Research Paper


1 PhD in Futures Studies, Researcher in National Research Institute for Science Policy, Tehran, Iran

2 PhD in Futures Studies, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Iran

3 Associate Professor, Department of Biological Sciences, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran, Iran

4 MA in Management, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Iran


The purpose of this study is to identify and determine key factors, emerging trends and driving forces in the development of future faculty promotion regulations (FPR) and evaluate the structural relationship between key factors over the Horizon 2035. For this purpose, relying on a mixed methodology and using the literature review, interviews, the cross-impact analysis matrix, MicMac software and expert panels, key factors are identified and the relationship of influence and dependence between them are structurally analyzed. As a result, five forces including "Discourse governing higher education in Iran", "Society (industry, market and government) expectation of higher education", "Economics of higher education", "Competitiveness and internationalization of higher education" and "Emerging challenges and development of Interdisciplinary sciences" are considered as drivers of change in the subject of research and the function and influence of each in the future of the faculty promotion system is explained. Accordingly, upgrading future editions of FPR requires alignment with the identified drivers, considering structural complexities between key factors and adapting to changes in the social, economic and political environment through interdisciplinary and futuristic approaches.


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